fresh
The deal to be blocked by China involves this AI company. observed
Manus resumed independent operation as its $2B-plus Meta acquisition unwound under Chinese regulatory pressure. Recorded as an exit-risk case study, NOT as a completed acquisition: geopolitics reversed a signed strategic exit.
No person- or entity-level identity check is on record for this company. A name match is not one.
The inclusion bar: two or more independent sourced evidence families. This profile is published and listed. It is a statement about how much evidence we hold, and about nothing else.
We have not established fit. That is not a soft no and not a soft yes — it is unknown, and it is never counted as a qualified prospect.
↗ Strongest signal: funding_magnitude (26% of the score).
↓ Scored on 2 of 4 components — adoption, developer had no computable metric.
The skeptic's read what this company has said, judged against what happened
Unproven ≠ false — it means the deadline or the evidence hasn't arrived. Nothing here is editorial: every count is a ledger row you can open on the Proof page.
No single number decides. Layers can disagree — that's the point. New to this? →
VentureSignalScore 78.2/100 for manus, composed from 2 of 4 components (index v0 cross-signal), discounted ×0.85 for 50% signal coverage
| Component | Weight | Normalized | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| funding_recency | 0.2 | 0.9818 | |
| funding_magnitude | 0.3 | 0.8796 |
funding.round.announced_on 2026-10-08 artifact ↗ funding.round.amount_usd 2026-10-08 artifact ↗ An evidence gap, not proof of falsity: Form D is not always required (foreign offerings, certain exemptions) or may not be filed yet.
A first sale, a filing, an amendment and a public announcement are not the same event, and one date may not stand in for another. Where the latest financing date cannot be established from what we hold, this says unknown rather than substituting a date we do have.
A reported round dated 2026-10-08 by its own source.
Gray-market attention, not quality. 3+ HN mentions (peak 402 points). Claim-shaped headlines are rumors until corroborated — a Tier-3 factual claim carries no evidentiary weight on its own. Risk drivers: no primary-source corroboration. ▲ 402 China blocks Meta's acquisition of AI startup Manus 2026-04-27 ↗
| Attribute | Value | Kind | Source | Observed | State | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ai.document.claims | {"claims": [{"claim": "Manus raised $500 million in funding announced on October 8, 2026.", "quote": "{\"amount_usd\":500000000,\"announced_on\":\"2026-10-08\",\"company_name\":\"Manus\",\"company_slu | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | promoted | 0.50 |
ai.technical.assessment | {"council": {"dissent": true, "members": [{"agent": "technical_specialist", "domain": "technical", "signal": 0.5, "signal_source": "model"}, {"agent": "product_docs_specialist", "domain": "product_doc | derived | council | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.29 |
ai.technical.assessment | {"council": {"dissent": true, "members": [{"agent": "technical_specialist", "domain": "technical", "signal": 0.7, "signal_source": "model"}, {"agent": "product_docs_specialist", "domain": "product_doc | derived | council | 2026-10-10 | promoted | 0.19 |
common_name | Manus | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.90 |
common_name | Manus.com Under Construction | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.60 |
community.hn.max_points | 402 | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.20 |
community.hn.mentions | 3 | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.20 |
community.hn.rumors | [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47920315", "title": "China blocks Meta's acquisition of AI startup Manus", "points": 402, "created_at": "2026-04-27", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verifica | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-04-27 | normalized | 0.20 |
community.hn.top_story | {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47920315", "title": "China blocks Meta's acquisition of AI startup Manus", "points": 402, "created_at": "2026-04-27"} | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-04-27 | normalized | 0.20 |
description | The deal to be blocked by China involves this AI company. | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.60 |
domain | manus.com | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.95 |
funding.round.amount_usd | 500000000 | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-08 | normalized | 0.90 |
funding.round.announced_on | 2026-10-08 | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-08 | normalized | 0.90 |
funding.round.lead_investors | [] | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-08 | normalized | 0.90 |
funding.round.source_url | https://siliconangle.com/2026/10/08/ai-agent-developer-manus-raises-500m-at-reported-4b-valuation/ | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-08 | normalized | 0.90 |
funding.round.stage | unknown | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-08 | normalized | 0.90 |
gate.accumulation | {"outcome": "document_created", "obs_count": 14, "source_id": "01M4G88NSWV3QVEM2H21S44F32", "trigger_path": "accumulation_gate", "collector_count": 3, "artifact_collector": "funding_intake"} | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.60 |
lifecycle_stage | operating | observed | https | 2026-08-11 | normalized | 0.95 |
metric.venture.funding_amount_usd | 500000000 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | derived | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 1.3581 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 1.4834 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 1.4931 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 1.4963 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 1.4968 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 1.7235 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 1.7467 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 1.7544 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 1.926 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.0131 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.1012 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.1883 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.2819 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.3684 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.3698 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.3879 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.4807 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.5782 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.6656 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.7543 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.8083 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.8961 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.9846 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 2.9957 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.0839 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.1081 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.1086 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.1141 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.1959 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.2319 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.2498 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.2625 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.2708 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.297 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.3372 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.3524 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.3928 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.4819 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.5719 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.6612 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.7515 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.835 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.8432 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 3.9327 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 4.0221 | derived | calc | 2026-10-12 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 4.0386 | derived | calc | 2026-10-12 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 4.0402 | derived | calc | 2026-10-12 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 4.0451 | derived | calc | 2026-10-12 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 4.0666 | derived | calc | 2026-10-12 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 4.11 | derived | calc | 2026-10-12 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 4.182 | derived | calc | 2026-10-12 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 4.9311 | derived | calc | 2026-10-12 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 4.9573 | derived | calc | 2026-10-12 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 5.0137 | derived | calc | 2026-10-13 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 5.0678 | derived | calc | 2026-10-13 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 5.1578 | derived | calc | 2026-10-13 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 5.2478 | derived | calc | 2026-10-13 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 6.2608 | derived | calc | 2026-10-14 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 6.3513 | derived | calc | 2026-10-14 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 6.4417 | derived | calc | 2026-10-14 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 6.5512 | derived | calc | 2026-10-14 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 6.6462 | derived | calc | 2026-10-14 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 6.7417 | derived | calc | 2026-10-14 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 6.8388 | derived | calc | 2026-10-14 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 6.934 | derived | calc | 2026-10-14 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 7.0311 | derived | calc | 2026-10-15 | superseded | 0.90 |
metric.venture.funding_recency_days | 7.1265 | derived | calc | 2026-10-15 | derived | 0.90 |
outcome | {"kind": "deal_unwound", "note": "Manus resumed independent operation as its $2B-plus Meta acquisition unwound under Chinese regulatory pressure. Recorded as an exit-risk case study, NOT as a complete | observed | https | 2026-08-11 | superseded | 0.95 |
outcome | {"kind": "deal_unwound", "note": "Manus resumed independent operation as its $2B-plus Meta acquisition unwound under Chinese regulatory pressure. Recorded as an exit-risk case study, NOT as a complete | observed | https | 2026-08-11 | normalized | 0.95 |
score.venture_signal | 78.7 | derived | calc | 2026-10-09 | superseded | 0.60 |
score.venture_signal | 78.6 | derived | calc | 2026-10-10 | superseded | 0.60 |
score.venture_signal | 78.5 | derived | calc | 2026-10-11 | superseded | 0.60 |
score.venture_signal | 78.4 | derived | calc | 2026-10-12 | superseded | 0.60 |
score.venture_signal | 78.3 | derived | calc | 2026-10-14 | superseded | 0.60 |
score.venture_signal | 78.2 | derived | calc | 2026-10-14 | derived | 0.60 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "document", "title": "manus — funding_intake snapshot (accumulation gate)", "source_id": "01M4G88NSWV3QVEM2H21S44F32", "extract_ref": "artifact:sha256:d01fdb16fd9cf28344d5a3c5645da081b0011885 | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "podcast", "title": "Pioneers of AI: Designing AI for people and the planet, with Aza Raskin — manus", "source_id": "01M3VWGSYZ7MYQMD0V7BE2517V-m-7cdbc9084feb6ac0", "extract_ref": "artifact:s | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-08-29 | normalized | 0.95 |
website_url | https://manus.com | observed | enrichment | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.75 |
website_url | https://manus.com | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.95 |
website.homepage.has_pricing_link | false | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-10-09 | normalized | 0.80 |